Trump leads Harris 54 percent to 45 percent among white voters, but her 9-point deficit is a slight improvement over the 12-point advantage Trump had with this group in 2020. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and... By comparison, Trump’s retrospective job rating in the same poll is 48% approve, 51% disapprove. That 48% approval for Trump is higher than the NBC News poll ever found for him during his ... The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to motivate voters. The latest NBC News national poll shows Harris leading Trump 49%-44%, within the margin of error, while Trump holds advantages on the economy, inflation and the border. Trump is favored to win the Electoral College 53 times out of 100, compared to 47 for Harris, according to FiveThirtyEight’s election forecast. Statistician Nate Silver’s model shows Trump ... KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have... This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. Harris’s approval rating currently sits at 42.7 percent while her disapproval rating is at 52.5 percent. Notably, though, Harris’s standing is not as good as Biden’s.
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