Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. On... Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president. This chart shows how the polling margin has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. So at the current odds, a contract for Trump would cost about $0.57 and one for Harris roughly $0.44 on Robinhood, with the same binary $0 or $1 return offered for each contract. Harris is well ahead among likely voters younger than 30 (55% support her to 38% who favor Trump), and among Black (79% Harris to 16% Trump) and Latino (59% Harris to 40% Trump) likely... 0:04. 0:35. A portion of former President Donald Trump's betting lead over Vice President Kamala Harris returned on Election Day as voters headed to the polls. Trump stood at -175 to Harris' +150 ... They exchanged personal attacks and sparred over their visions for America, but Ms Harris forced Mr Trump on the defensive by bringing up the former president’s legal woes and stance on... At the moment, the polls suggest that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are within a couple of percentage points of each other in all of the swing states - and when the race is that close, it’s ... Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and...
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