Harris needs 44 of these battleground electoral votes to win the election, assuming both candidates win all of the states where polls show them with significant leads. Trump needs 51 . The odds of winning and of outcome are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations, using vote projections per riding, past results, and various demographic data as the main variables. Canadians more likely to prefer having the next federal election in 2025 and oppose forcing an election immediately (Bloomberg/Nanos) Oct 17, 2024. The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on the timing of the next federal election in Canada. Nik Nanos, the founder of polling firm Nanos Research, said politics on both sides of the border now shares “common hot button issues”, from the cost of living to immigration. Important note: Some polls are not be listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as most Nanos weekly updates), but they are included in the projections. Conservatives 38, Liberals 25, NDP 20 (Nanos) 2024-10-22 Written by Nanos Research. Nanos tracks unprompted issues of concern every week. To access full weekly national and regional tracking visit the Nanos subscriber data portal. Conservatives continue to enjoy a double-digit lead over the Liberals in the weekly ballot tracking. Of note ... Pollster Nik Nanos on the bounce the Liberals are seeing in ballot support and how Canadians are feeling about the federal government.Subscribe to CTV News t... The latest Nanos federal ballot tracking has the Conservatives at 43.2 per cent, the Liberals at 22.8 per cent, the NDP at 15.9 per cent, the Bloc at 10.3 per cent, the Green Party at 4.3 per cent and the Peoples Party at 2.5 per cent. Published Nov. 30, 2023 7:01 a.m. PST. Share. The governing minority Liberals' decline in the polls has now placed them in a tie for support with their confidence-and-supply partners the NDP,...
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