Prediction markets allow individuals to bet on the outcome of events, and more users are currently betting that Donald Trump is more likely to win than Vice President Kamala Harris. Donald Trump's odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have surged to a more than two-month high on the leading prediction market, Polymarket. USA TODAY. Offshore betting markets still think former President Donald Trump has a significantly higher probability of winning the 2024 presidential election than Vice President Kamala... With vote counting underway, the world’s largest prediction market, Polymarket, now shows the odds of Donald Trump winning the election at 79%, with Kamala Harris at 21%. According to Polymarket ... U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris now has a seven-point lead over Donald Trump on Polymarket, after flipping the prediction market odds on Aug. 9 and tying the day before. So at the current odds, a contract for Trump would cost about $0.57 and one for Harris roughly $0.44 on Robinhood, with the same binary $0 or $1 return offered for each contract. Election betting ... The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+). Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast. The majority of bets went for Trump, with $1.3 billion wagered on the former president and $827 million on Harris. Polymarket did not respond to a request for comment. On Sunday, a quote-tweet from Musk sent former president Donald Trump’s election odds skyrocketing on the election betting platform Polymarket. “Trump now leading Kamala by 3% in betting ...
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