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This chart shows how the polling margin in Florida has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. The possible election of the first female president, a broad backlash against Trump, the fall of Roe v. Wade and more have played big parts in stretching the gap in Harris' favor among women. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency Get live updates on Election Day 2024, including results, polls and the latest news on the presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. We track polls from across the country and synthesise them to measure the state of the race. Since she took over the Democratic nomination from Joe Biden, Ms Harris’s standing has risen... Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Stay updated on how Vice President Kamala Harris and President Donald Trump are doing in the 2024 Presidential election polls.

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