Democratic Party. 48.0 48.8 49.6. Donald Trump. Republican Party. 47.0 47.8 48.5. T he race for the White House is in its last stretch. Turnout in early voting is off to a roaring start. The two ... Kamala Harris moved into a narrow lead in our final update, with her chance of winning rising from 50% to 56%. With no time left before the election, our model reacts sharply to the latest data ... Voters in the US go to the polls on Tuesday to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign and ... State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology. Harris clings to a 1 percentage point lead over Trump in TIPP's Tracking Poll from Wednesday morning. The poll of 1,302 likely voters showed Harris leading Trump 48%-47% with just six days to go ... This isn’t a popularity contest™. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed ... The probability of each outcome below, according to our simulations. Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 8 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 1 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 41 out of 100. Trump wins the Electoral College with <350 ... This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the ... Line chart showing voting intention in national polls between Harris and Trump since the Trump-Biden debate on June 27. Kamala Harris 48.9 Donald Trump 47.6. Source: FT research, FiveThirtyEight • Latest poll Nov 3. In US Presidential elections, national polls are merely indicators, because the overall winner is decided using the electoral ...
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