Harris needs 44 of these battleground electoral votes to win the election, assuming both candidates win all of the states where polls show them with significant leads. Trump needs 51 . Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Your trusted source for the latest U.S. election polls and surveys, and the insights you need to understand the meaning behind the data. Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. The 2024 US Presidential Election odds have cut Donald Trump's lead once again from a -225 favorite two days ago to -182 today. Kamala Harris is now at +140 from +175 just 48 hours ago. The change could be due to Harris's lead in key swing states of Michigan and Wisconsin where the Democratic candidate jumped to a 1.1 and 0.7 point lead ... This is an electoral map based on the Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. It will be updated every four hours. Unless there is an exact tie, the toss-up color is not used in this map. Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president.
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