An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls. Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president. ESTIMATE. 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been... Reporting from New York. With virtually all of the vote counted in Butler County, Pennsylvania, Trump holds a 32-point edge over Harris. Butler County was the site of the first attempt on Trump's ... Trump stopped in Reading as part of a three-state tour that ended in Grand Rapids, Mich., the city where he staged his closing rallies in 2016 and 2020. “We need everyone to vote, Pennsylvania ... 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning. As polls close on Election Day, data is coming in with the results of the 2024 election . See real-time updates on the presidential, Senate, House and governors' races here. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter.
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