NEW YORK (AP) — Roughly 3 in 4 American adults believe the upcoming presidential election is vital to the future of U.S. democracy, although which candidate they think poses the greater threat depends on their political leanings, according to a poll. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. It’s Election Day, and the polls show one of the closest presidential races in the history of American politics. Nationwide or across the key battlegrounds collectively, neither Kamala Harris... Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Harris needs 44 of these battleground electoral votes to win the election, assuming both candidates win all of the states where polls show them with significant leads. Trump needs 51 . Analysis by Kevin Schaul. and. Kati Perry. November 5, 2024 at 11:00 a.m. EST. 2 min. Follow along tonight after the first polls close at 6 p.m. Eastern. Real-time results will show shifts on the ... Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Election-year polls are still useful, particularly when they’re trying to assess how the public is feeling about the candidates or the state of the country. They told us quite clearly, for instance, that many Americans wanted Democratic President Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 race. Last updated Nov. 5, 2024 at 8:40 p.m. PT. Notes: The estimated share of votes counted is based on AP analysis. AP notes that this will fluctuate as the vote tabulation takes place. Presidential race ratings are based on NPR analysis. Maps do not shade in until 50% of the estimated vote is in for a given state, to mitigate flutuations in early ...
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