The national polls have become extremely close, raising the possibility of a Trump victory in the popular vote. And Harris’s once clear-but-modest lead in the so-called blue wall of... This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump each need at least 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. Follow here for 2024 presidential election updates, results, analysis ... The latest results in the Presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, plus crucial Senate and House races and real-time reporting and analysis. Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris NY Times/Siena Trump 48, Harris 48 Tie Michigan: Trump vs. Harris NY Times/Siena Harris 47, Trump 47 Tie Arizona: Trump vs. Harris NY Times/Siena Trump 49, Harris 45 ... Mr. Trump showed his strength early, winning states like Texas and Florida easily and defying recent polls, such as one in Iowa, that seemed to show a surge of support for Ms Harris. Trump leads Harris 54 percent to 45 percent among white voters, but her 9-point deficit is a slight improvement over the 12-point advantage Trump had with this group in 2020. In a smaller shift — but a sizable one in its own right — Harris held a 25-point edge among Latino women, down 14 percentage points from Biden's 39-point spread over Trump in 2020. Read the full methodology here. On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details...
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