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48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Note: Individual poll results are shown as circles for each candidate. Polls with greater weight in the average have larger circles. Some state averages started ... State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology. Research Co. 50.0%. Harris. 48.0%. Trump. +2 Harris. + More Polls. The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's ... The final national NBC News poll of the 2024 presidential campaign finds a neck and neck contest defined by clashing forces that have aided both Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump ... Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Aug. 1, 2024 Sept. 1 Oct. 1 Nov. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Harris 48.0% Trump 46.8% Nov. 5, 2024 leader Nov. 5, 2024 leader Harris Harris +1.2. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Support for Mr. Trump in New Hampshire had weakened in recent months, with Vice President Kamala Harris leading in most polls, a factor that some thought would help Ms. Craig. But Ms. Craig was ... Kamala Harris. Democratic Party. 48.0 48.8 49.6. Donald Trump. Republican Party. 47.0 47.8 48.5. T he race for the White House is in its last stretch. Turnout in early voting is off to a roaring ... 2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates ... In September, likely voters split 48% for Harris and 47% for Trump, nearly identical to the new poll, and a poll just after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race over the summer and threw ...

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