538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning. Texas Politics Project. UPDATED October 30, 2024: Added the Cooperative Election Study, which has an overall Texas sample of 6,473 respondents, but doesn't indicate how many of those are likely voters (and therefore) the margin of error for the estimate. Vice President Kamala Harris trails former President Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in Texas, shaving off nearly half the Republican nominee’s one-time advantage over President Joe Biden... We track polls from across the country and synthesise them to measure the state of the race. Since she took over the Democratic nomination from Joe Biden, Ms Harris’s standing has risen... According to the latest survey by the University of Houston's Hobby School of Public Affairs, former president Donald Trump holds a 5% lead over Vice President Kamala Harris among likely... Stay updated on how Vice President Kamala Harris and President Donald Trump are doing in the Texas 2024 Presidential election polls. Who’s ahead in the Texas ? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. This chart shows how the polling margin in Texas has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. Across the key battlegrounds collectively or nationwide, neither Kamala Harris nor Donald J. Trump leads by more than a single percentage point.
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