Our election model estimates the outcome of the race in real time based on polling data, the votes reported so far and what we expect from remaining votes. Read how it works › Very likely Trump ... Voters in the US go to the polls on Tuesday to elect their next president. The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in July when President Joe Biden ended his campaign and ... Polls released in the waning hours of presidential elections often receive outsized attention – including a Des Moines Register poll over the weekend that showed Harris with a 3-point lead over ... When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the ... 48% Trump Trump. 49% Harris Harris. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. It’s Election Day, and the polls show one of the closest presidential races in the history of American politics. Nationwide ... Democratic Party. 48.0 48.8 49.6. Donald Trump. Republican Party. 47.0 47.8 48.5. T he race for the White House is in its last stretch. Turnout in early voting is off to a roaring start. The two ... Election 2024: Harris vs. Trump. CNN Poll of Polls. Harris. 49%. Trump. 47%. Date Range: 10/20-11/02. *The CNN Poll of Polls aggregates and averages a number of recent polls. If the margin between ... State. Cycle. An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.
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