Across the key battlegrounds collectively or nationwide, neither Kamala Harris nor Donald J. Trump leads by more than a single percentage point. Who’s ahead in all? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Who’s ahead in all? An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency Kamala Harris moved into a narrow lead in our final update, with her chance of winning rising from 50% to 56%. With no time left before the election, our model reacts sharply to the latest data. On Friday, Marist College released their highly-anticipated final polls across the Midwestern states, finding Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump by 3 points... Narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins the US presidential election on November 5. This tracker uses the latest... Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump each need at least 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. Follow here for 2024 presidential election updates, results, analysis ... Most polls indicate a tight race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. ... with a 50.015% chance of winning compared to Trump’s 49.985%—effectively a tie ... Poll: Trump Leads Harris ... The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former president, are criss-crossing the country, scrambling to motivate voters. We...
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